ESG 抗跌力應驗與否在於信念?

【ESG分析師洞見分享】Ryan Fung, CESGA

沒有信念,ESG 投資就失靈?第三季 ESG 基金統計數據顯示,ESG 的抗跌能力和跑贏大市能力幾乎只在歐美股市場奏效,在一些 ESG 重視程度沒有那麼高的國家卻「不靈光」,跑輸大市,活像一場信者得救的救贖。

在高利率和通脹的環境下,第三季數據顯示,MSCI ESG Leaders 指數略為跑贏大市 0.3 個百分點,但在其他 ESG 退潮的國家卻失去魔力,不論是專注於氣候解決方案,抑或是綠色交通的投資主題,齊齊無運行。

雖然這是戰火紛飛和政治先行的年代,不過在吸金能力方面,ESG 基金在歐美仍一直吸納資金,在第三季度的資金流入主要來自歐洲,但相較於前一個季度和去年同期有所下降。歐洲擁有最大的 ESG 資金管理規模,其次是美國,亞太地區就落後於這兩個地區。

事實上,ESG 本身是因氣候危機應運而生的概念,「經濟學人」智庫發佈的 2024 年風險展望,其中有兩點跟氣候變化有關,第一點是全球供應鏈恐受氣候風險影響,第二點是歐美的綠色經濟補貼恐會爆發成貿易戰。

值得憂慮的是,現在發生於世界各地的極端天氣事件,一直是「個別事件」且地理上孤立,但報告估計,未來有可能會以更同步的方式發生,比如嚴重的乾旱和熱浪可能會嚴重影響生產,導致糧食短缺,使全球供應鏈緊張並推高家庭成本;而在一些物理風險較高的地區,糧食短缺或會導致大規模移民,甚至戰爭,波及更多其他國家。

畢竟資本市場現在講求「去風險化」,西方經濟體可能會提高對中國進口產品的現有關稅,或加快對懸而未決的反傾銷和反傾銷調查的決定。客觀效果除了是推動高價格,還有就是換來中國的報復,比如會提高綠色經濟重要資源的出口(詳見「歐美要搶電動車電池生意,中國石墨不會墨守成規?」)。

由此可見,現在 ESG 在地緣政治也扮演著一定角色,成為發展中國家被撤資的催命符,到底碳排放大國可以如何應對呢?

強積金基金可以自行選擇投資恒指基金或恒指ESG基金嗎?

香港地球之友綠色金融顧問

近年ESG越來越受全球的重視,而港府與積金局亦鼓勵強積金計劃(MPF)的受託人在計劃中加入與ESG相關的成份基金。香港部份MPF受託人亦宣布推出ESG相關基金,但並非成立新產品,而是於強積金計劃旗下的成份基金作出變更,成為持有ESG主題的基金產品。

舉例來說,其中一個是由「恒生指數追蹤MPF基金」變更為「恒生指數ESG MPF基金」。基金的投資目標、政策及投資均衡性亦相應變更,並於近幾個月前生效。

 為方便讀者了解變動前後的差別,筆者嘗試作個比較:

(數據截至2023年10月31日)

恒指有80隻成份股,而恒指ESG只得68隻,剔走的主要是能源公司或電力公司,比如恒指裡的三桶油(即中石油、中石化、中海油)在恒指ESG裡就一桶都沒有保留。另外中電、電能等亦在恒指ESG中被消失了。

因ESG考量而被踢走的成份股有12隻,合共比重8.4%,這些比重就分配到剩餘的成份股。從行業分佈圖中可見,重新分配後的大赢家明顯是地產建築業,比重比在恒指高出了接近11個百份點。比較表現的話,由年初開始,雖然兩個指數都下跌,但原恒指比恒指ESG輸少約4個百份點(恒指-13% vs恒指ESG-17%)。

其實筆者對MPF選擇追蹤恒指或恒指ESG沒有特別意見。然而在整個轉換投資ETF(或背後追蹤指數)的過程中,相關MPF持有人到底有否被咨詢過或是否同意此變動,我實在不確定。

聽說還有其他MPF受託人計劃類似的變動,把追踪恒指的MPF換成追蹤含ESG考量的指數,以迎合市場重視ESG的要求及監管機構的計劃。此舉對在港推動ESG固然非常有用,目前強積金總淨資產約1.1兆港元(截至今年3月底),追蹤恒指MPF產品大概5-6%,即接近600億港元。不過作為MPF持有人,我們亦需要多留意市場變化及MPF受託人作出的通知。這樣才能有效管理MPF的資產及穩定性,以免被換了個投資標的也懵然不知。

COP28 – Will it be a successful year?

Green Finance Advisor of Friends of the Earth (HK)

It is very clear that humanity closes the books on the hottest year in 2023 on record, it’s worth asking whether the strategy is still working — and what might be lost by continuing to embrace it.

At COP28 in Dubai, 1.5°C will be front and center — in part because this year has offered a sobering glimpse of it. By early November 2023 had seen more than 80 days with temperatures at least 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, according to the UN, along with second-order effects that include deadly wildfires, damaging flooding and historic drought.

“We are already unsafe and we have not reached 1.5°C yet,” says Rachel Cleetus, the policy director of the non-profit Union of Concerned Scientists’ Climate and Energy program. COP28 will also include the first “global stocktake,” a rigorous review of how country-level climate efforts are stacking up against Paris goals. The process, intended to inform the next round of national climate pledges due in 2025, is sure to highlight how few countries are moving as quickly or aggressively as is needed to keep 1.5°C within the realm of reality.

Never before has the finance industry attended a United Nations Conference of the Parties in such vast numbers, according to provisional registration data from the UN’s Framework Convention on Climate Change. Attendees include BlackRock Inc. Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink, as well as HSBC Holdings Plc CEO Noel Quinn and Brian Moynihan of Bank of America Corp.

They will be rubbing shoulders with numerous oil executives, which is another notable feature of this year’s talks. Sultan Al Jaber, president of the COP28 summit and head of the Abu Dhabi national oil company, Adnoc, has said he wants as many interests as possible represented to ensure a “successful” outcome. Against that backdrop, Darren Woods just became the first ever Exxon Mobil Corp. CEO to attend a COP since the summits started in the 1990s.

The mantra of this year’s summit is fast becoming that finance needs to go where emissions are, meaning it’s no longer feasible to blacklist firms that pollute, according to Huw van Steenis, vice-chair and partner at Oliver Wyman Inc. It’s about “financing emissions reductions” rather than just “reducing financed emissions,” he said.

Attendees will also turn their attention to the voluntary carbon market, which has been hit by a string of scandals that have raised serious questions as to the validity of the offsetting claims made by those buying carbon credits. Discussions on how to overhaul the voluntary carbon market come as executives from the world’s biggest banks and investment firms explore new funding structures and partnerships, as they use finance day at the COP28 climate summit in Dubai to devise viable pathways to a low-carbon economy.

Beijing ‘attaches great importance’ to COP28 decision to have 2035 carbon goals laid out within two years, climate envoy Xie Zhenhua says in Dubai. China will set up new emissions reduction targets for 2030 and 2035 as part of global pledges to fight climate change, the country’s top climate envoy said, while urging a greater push for methane control. On methane emissions, Xie says China is ‘willing to act’ but still lacks the capabilities, as he calls for global joint efforts.

Meanwhile, on December 6, Hong Kong hosted its first forum at the United Nations climate talks to promote the city as a green and sustainable financial centre. The event was co-hosted by the Financial Services Development Council and Friends of the Earth at the COP28 summit.

“We will co-host a forum at the China Corner side event of COP28,” said Plato Yip the chairman of Friends of the Earth in Hong Kong. “This marks a significant and meaningful milestone for our Hong Kong-based NGO Friends of the Earth as it is our first opportunity to deliver our message directly.”

We are looking forward to seeing a meaningful and fruitful outcome of COP28!

香港退休金也有ESG?

【ESG分析師洞見分享】Delton Lau , CESGA

近年ESG(環境、社會及管治)投資市場迅速增長。全球知名退休基金如日本退休基金、美國加州公務員退休基金、加拿大退休金計畫等加總規模高達上兆美元,皆有訂定嚴格的ESG投資標準。香港特區政府除了想把本港打造為亞洲區ESG投資樞紐,亦透過強制性公積金計劃管理局(MPFA),幫助強積金計劃(MPF)受託人,在強積金中加入ESG元素,趕上全球退休基金重視ESG趨勢。

積金局早於2021年11月發布了「可持續投資應用於強積金基金的投資及風險管理過程的原則」,涵蓋「管治、策略、風險管理及披露」四大主要範疇,協助強積金計劃受託人從金融風險管理角度,把ESG因素納入強積金投資及風險管理過程中,並向強積金計劃成員作出相關披露。上年1月,香港證券及期貨事務監察委員會(SFC)也推出了新指引,優化ESG基金的資料披露要求。根據羅兵咸永道(PwC)發布《2023年香港上市公司環境、社會及管治報告調研》結果,就披露程度而言,在樣本企業提交的ESG報告中,相關議題披露都趨於成熟,其中社會範疇議題披露成熟度達90%(1)。

隨着本港ESG法規日漸完善,坊間出現更多經第三方認證、透過追蹤各類型ESG指數的基金或交易所買賣基金(Exchange Trade Fund, ETF)等產品,對強積金計劃受託人增大強積金當中ESG ETF配置有正面影響。今年10月3日,一隻以恒指ESG增強指數作為追蹤指數的ESG ETF,獲得MPF受託人近67億港元的大額申購,帶動香港上市ESG ETF的總市值大幅上漲至近100億港元(2)。

另一方面,國際可持續發展標準委員會(ISSB)今年6月發布的《國際財務報告永續揭露準則》:第1號──永續相關財務資訊揭露一般要求IFRS S1、及第2號──氣候相關揭露IFRS S2,確保全球公司在可持續相關風險和機遇的信息具有可比性,協助投資者決策,並獲得國際證監會組織(IOSCO)支持,聯交所在落實《上市規則》修訂時將會考慮最終的ISSB氣候準則,將於2025年1月1日或之後開始的年度報告期間生效(3)。就此,由財經事務及庫務局、香港交易及結算所有限公司、強制性公積金計劃管理局、保險業監管局和環境及生態局組成的「綠色和可持續金融跨機構督導小組」,將會制訂適用於本地的可持續發展滙報準則路線圖(4)。

ISSB的兩個揭露準則有助進一步提升本地上市公司ESG報告披露完善度,及引導更多的資產管理規模(AuM)投入至ESG,本地以ESG為主題的強積金將日益普及。不過,雖然ESG投資或能夠締造相對非ESG投資或基準指數較好的回報,但強積金是一種長期投資,而且ESG投資相對傳統投資為新,用於評估ESG的標準目前仍存在標準不統一、過程不透明、漂綠(Greenwashing)等問題。因此ESG強積金的真實表現仍需要長時間觀察。

1. https://finance.mingpao.com/fin/instantf/20231012/1697086919097

2. http://www.stcn.com/article/detail/996194.html

3. https://www.hkex.com.hk/News/Regulatory-Announcements/2023/231103news?sc_lang=zh-HK

4. https://www.sfc.hk/TC/Sustainable-finance/CASG

# 本文章由 EFFAS 環境、社會及管治分析師 (CESGA) 所撰寫。CESGA在歐洲以及全球都具有高度認受性,全球報名人數持續上升。有志報讀的人士,請參閱:https://bit.ly/3tFUQ1M

Do ESG elements exist in Hong Kong’s Pension Funds?

【Certified ESG Analyst Insights Sharing】Delton Lau, CESGA

The ESG (environmental, social and governance) investment market has been growing rapidly in recent years. World-renowned pension funds, such as Japanese pension funds, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System of the USA and the Canada Pension Plan, collectively manage trillions of US dollars and have established strict ESG investment standards. The HKSAR government aims to turn Hong Kong into an ESG investment hub in Asia, as well as assisting Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) trustees in incorporating ESG elements into MPF schemes through the Mandatory Provident Fund Schemes Authority (MPFA). The objective is to keep up with the global trend of the increasing importance of ESG in pension funds.

As early as November 2021, the MPFA released the Principles for Adopting Sustainable Investing in the Investment and Risk Management Processes of MPF Funds (Principles). The Principles cover ‘governance, strategy, risk management and disclosure’ as four key elements helping MPF trustees integrate ESG factors into MPF investments and risk management processes from a financial risk management perspective, while also making relevant disclosures to MPF scheme members. In January last year, the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) issued new guidelines to improve the disclosure requirements for ESG funds. According to the 2023 ESG Reporting Study for Hong Kong Listed Companies issued by PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited (PwC), the disclosure level of all issues relevant to ESG reports submitted by sampled companies tends to be mature, with social issues disclosure reaching a maturity level of 90% (1).

With the continuous improvement of ESG regulations in Hong Kong, more products which are certified by a third party and track various ESG indices are emerging in the market, including products such as Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). This has a positive impact on MPF trustees, encouraging them to increase the allocation of ESG ETFs within the MPF schemes. On October 3 this year, an ESG ETF which tracks HSI ESG Enhanced Index received substantial subscriptions of nearly 6.9 billion Hong Kong dollars from MPF trustees, leading to a significant increase in the total market value of Hong Kong-listed ESG ETFs to nearly 10 billion Hong Kong dollars (2).

In June this year, the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) also issued IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) S1 General Requirements for Disclosure of Sustainability-related Financial Information and IFRS S2 Climate-related Disclosures of IFRS Sustainability Disclosure Standards 1 and 2 respectively. The standards ensure the comparability of information regarding global companies’ sustainability-related risks and opportunities, which facilitates investors’ decision making. They are endorsed by the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO), and the Hong Kong Exchange (HKEx) stated that it would take into account the final ISSB Climate Standard when finalising the Listing Rule amendments, and will be effective for annual reporting periods beginning on or after January 1, 2025. In this regard, the Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau, the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited, the MPFA, the Insurance Authority and the Environment and Ecology Bureau formed the Green and Sustainable Finance Cross-Agency Steering Group, which will develop a roadmap to establish local reporting standards for sustainable development (3).

The two ISSB disclosure standards will further enhance the comprehensiveness of disclosure in ESG reports by local listed companies and lead to more investments in Assets under Management (AuM) in ESG. Local ESG-themed MPF schemes will become increasingly popular. However, though it may be the case that ESG investments generate better returns than non-ESG investments or benchmark indices, there are still problems in ESG assessment, including the lack of unified standards, in transparency and greenwashing. MPF is a long-term investment and ESG investments are relatively new compared to traditional ones. Therefore, the true performance of ESG MPF schemes will require long-term observation.

1. https://finance.mingpao.com/fin/instantf/20231012/1697086919097

2. http://www.stcn.com/article/detail/996194.html

3. https://www.hkex.com.hk/News/Regulatory-Announcements/2023/231103news?sc_lang=zh-HK

4. https://www.sfc.hk/TC/Sustainable-finance/CASG

Article is written by EFFAS Certified Environmental, Social, and Governance Analyst (CESGA). CESGA is highly recognized in Europe and globally which has been steadily increasing in the worldwide. If interested in enrolling, please refer to https://bit.ly/3tFUQ1M.