Discover engaging
green finance events this May 2025. Browse the calendar and register for events
that align with your interests through the links below:
In the 2020s, momentum behind sustainable
transportation is unmistakable – from electric vehicles (EVs) to charging
infrastructure, we’ve seen a groundswell of adoption and investment. Yet the
full sustainability potential across transport modes remains untapped. Emerging
solutions like sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), green methanol and ammonia,
and e-fuels are gaining some ground, but they continue to carry a green
premium: higher capital expenditures and operating costs compared to their
fossil-fuel counterparts.
Finance plays an inseparable role in
closing this gap. The ability to scale these technologies hinges not only on
innovation, but also on access to patient, risk-tolerant capital that can
support early deployment, aggregate demand, and eventually drive costs down.
In an ideal world, carbon emissions would
be fairly priced, regulatory signals would be clear and stable, and green
investments would offer both climate and financial returns. Over time,
economies of scale and technological learning curves would shrink the green
premium. But in today’s fragmented global context, recent developments are
pushing us further away from that equilibrium.
Take maritime shipping as an example. The
International Maritime Organization (IMO) recently advanced plans to introduce
a global cap on carbon emissions for ocean shipping, including a significant penalty
for ships exceeding carbon intensity thresholds starting from 2028. While this
is a major step toward internalizing emissions costs, it’s far from universally
supported. For example, the current US administration has voiced opposition to
these mechanisms, citing concerns about competitiveness and economic burden,
adding uncertainty for investors and operators alike.
In addition, an emerging wave of trade
protectionism – reflected in rising tariffs on goods – is disrupting supply
chains and delaying the cost reductions that green transport technologies, such
as EVs, batteries, and clean tech components, depend on. These measures not
only raise the cost of deploying clean technologies but also undermine returns
on critical infrastructure – such as EV charging networks, battery recycling
plants, and low-carbon fuel bunkering hubs – by creating uncertainty around
future utilization and demand.
The result is a prolonged vicious cycle
that keeps the green premium high and adoption low: green solutions are
expensive not just because of high costs, but because the returns are distant,
uncertain, and vulnerable to political risks.
Trade barriers raise deployment costs, making early-stage projects harder to finance and scale.
Infrastructure build-out lags behind, reinforcing hesitancy. For instance, why commit to deploying electric heavy-duty trucks if fast-charging hubs or grid capacity are not in place?
Fragmented carbon pricing mechanisms distorts competition. Without consistent, global participation, some players bear the cost of decarbonization while others bypass/ create arbitrages against it.
Green infrastructure requires long-duration capital, yet returns are often insufficiently de-risked to meet financiers’ thresholds to provide credit.
Despite these challenges, today presents a
critical moment for leadership. The costs of inaction – regulatory lock-ins,
stranded assets, and geopolitical exposure – are rising. At the same time,
first movers in clean transportation are shaping the next decade of supply
chains, trade corridors, and capital flows. Here is what businesses and
financiers can do to stay ahead:
1. Anchor investments with strategic intent Businesses should view green investments as enablers of long-term competitiveness, not just short-term returns. Investing in SAF or green bunkering infrastructure, for example, may not yield immediate margins, but helps secure future market access, compliance readiness, and brand value. This also applies to financiers: transition-aligned portfolios require reallocation of capital now, recognizing future fuel cost shifts and regulatory tightening. Integrating forward-looking metrics – such as internal carbon pricing or emissions trajectories – into credit portfolios is key.
2. Deploy blended finance and de-risking
tools
Public-private capital stacks can unlock projects that otherwise fail
conventional hurdle rates. Financiers should work with multilateral banks,
public agencies, and philanthropic funds to design blended finance structures
with concessional or first-loss tranches. These tools have proven effective in
clean energy and are highly transferable to transportation – from bus
electrification to green port infrastructure.
3. Shape sustainable financing principles
through cross-market collaboration
Businesses and financiers can work together across borders to establish
consistent aligned sustainable financing principles. Collaborative efforts – such
as the Poseidon Principles for climate-aligned shipping finance – demonstrate
how cross-market standards can reduce regulatory fragmentation, increase
investment predictability, and create a level playing field.
4. Aggregate demand through alliances
Pooling commitments through coalitions like the First Movers Coalition, Cargo
Owners for Zero Emission Vessels (coZEV), and the Sustainable Freight Buyers
Alliance helps justify infrastructure investments and reduce counterparty risk.
Demand aggregation (while complying with competition laws and regulations)
increases certainty for financiers and enables lower-cost capital deployment.
The transition to sustainable
transportation is undeniably complex. Timely
investment in infrastructure and technologies, alongside collective demand, would
be necessary for such transition to scale and green premium to be reduced or
potentially eliminated. For financiers
and businesses, the opportunity now lies in designing strategies that reward
leadership, hedge against delay, and build the systems we will depend on
tomorrow.
This article is written by a holder of the EFFAS Certified Environmental, Social, and Governance Analyst (CESGA). CESGA is a globally recognised qualification whose prominence continues to grow worldwide. CESGA has recently achieved a significant milestone as the first programme accredited by European standard setter EFRAG for compliance with the ESRS sustainability disclosure requirements in the EU (mandatory from 2025). For enrolment details, please visit https://bit.ly/40chuOR.
The third instalment in
our series explores how green finance is driving the deployment of renewable
energy and examines the challenges that lie ahead.
The Renewable Energy Revolution
According to the International
Energy Agency (IEA) Renewables 2024
report, renewable energy needs to provide nearly 60% of global electricity
generation by 2030 in the Net Zero Emissions (NZE) scenario. Renewable power
generation provided a record 32% of global electricity last year, according to
energy think tank Ember’s
Global Electricity Review 2025.
Global renewable power
generation capacity is projected to grow 2.3 times by 2030, adding around 5,500
gigawatts (GW) of new capacity, according to the IEA’s
World Energy Outlook 2024. Solar photovoltaic
(PV) and wind power is expected to dominate this growth, accounting for 95% of
all renewable capacity growth through the end of
this decade.
Annual clean energy
investment will also need to more
than double to US$4.5 trillion by the early 2030s
to align with climate goals. Moreover, for every dollar spent on renewable
power, only
60 cents are spent on grids and storage.
Investments in grids and storage is expected to reach parity with that in
renewable generation by the 2040s, creating a balanced and resilient energy
system, according to the IEA.
How Green Finance is Driving Renewable Energy Deployment
Green finance has been
accelerating the adoption of renewable energy through several key mechanisms.
Equity and debt
issuances for climate and energy transition purposes totaled
US$1 trillion in 2024, providing crucial capital
for renewable energy projects worldwide, according to BloombergNEF.
Blended finance, which
uses funding from public and philanthropic sources to mobilise additional
private sector investment, has also achieved notable success in Sub-Saharan
Africa, attracting 61% of
global concessional financing in 2020,
according to The State of Blended Finance 2021 report by Convergence.
The Daybreak
project in Nigeria shows how blended finance
helped provide distributed renewable energy solutions as an alternative to
diesel generators for commercial and industrial customers, in a nation with an
unreliable grid supply and frequent blackouts. The
International Finance Corporation (IFC) provided US$20 million equivalent in
financing to Daybreak in 2021,
enabling Nigeria’s second largest provider of commercial solar hybrid power to
increase its solar photovoltaic capacity fourfold, helping to catalyse the
nation’s distributed renewable energy sector.
The Cost of Delay
Failing to scale
renewable energy deployment would have severe consequences:
Missing climate targets
becomes virtually certain
Energy security risks
increase, particularly in the context of ongoing geopolitical tensions
Economic opportunities in the
clean energy economy are lost
The IEA’s
2024 World Energy Outlook emphasises that while
global carbon dioxide emissions are projected to peak before 2030, without a
sharp decline afterwards, the world is on course for a rise of 2.4°C in global
average temperatures by 2100, well above the Paris Agreement goal of limiting
global warming to 1.5°C.
Green finance provides
the tools to accelerate deployment and ensure these consequences are avoided.
Key Takeaways
Renewable energy must scale
rapidly to meet climate goals, with capacity projected to grow 2.3 times by
2030
Green finance innovations are
crucial for accelerating deployment, with blended finance showing particular
promise in emerging markets
The imbalance between
investments in renewable energy generation versus grids and storage persists, but
must be corrected to ensure system resilience
Looking Ahead
The transformation of
our energy system depends on successfully scaling renewable energy deployment.
As highlighted in our previous posts on
financing the energy transition and regional
investment disparities, green financing mechanisms
are proving their effectiveness in mobilising capital for clean energy. In the
next post, we’ll examine how green finance is supporting the critical
infrastructure needed to integrate renewables, including transmission, storage,
and smart grid technologies.
Stay tuned as we
continue to explore how green finance is powering the clean energy revolution.
The second primer
in our Green and Sustainable Finance Spotlight Series gives an overview of
carbon markets and explores the mechanisms that put a price on greenhouse gas
emissions. Carbon markets are becoming increasingly important in reducing
carbon emissions globally, so understanding how they work is crucial to making
informed financial decisions.
What are Carbon Markets and Carbon Pricing Mechanisms?
Carbon markets and
pricing mechanisms assign financial value to greenhouse gas emissions, giving institutions
an incentive to reduce their environmental footprint.
These systems enable
the trading of carbon credits, which represent verified emissions reductions. Transactions
usually occur between organisations that can reduce emissions at lower costs
and those that find it more expensive to do so.
The main carbon
pricing approaches include:
Emissions Trading Systems (ETS): Market-based systems where businesses operate under emissions limits and can buy or sell allowances based on their pollution levels.
Carbon Taxes: Direct fees charged on emissions, typically set by governments.
Voluntary Carbon Markets: Platforms where companies choose to buy carbon credits to offset their emissions.
Key Market Developments Around the World
European Union: The EU ETS, launched in 2005, is the world’s first international emissions trading system. It follows the ‘polluter pays’ principle where those responsible for environmental damage pay to cover the costs.
Hong Kong: In October 2022, the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) launched Core Climate, an international marketplace for trading voluntary carbon credits in HKD and RMB, strengthening Hong Kong’s position as a green finance centre.
Japan: Japan’s Joint Crediting Mechanism (JCM) invests in advanced green technologies for developing nations, allowing both countries to share credits from greenhouse gas reductions. Japan has established JCM partnerships with 29 countries across Asia, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe.
Market Size and Growth
According to MSCI,
over 6,200 carbon projects were registered across major international crediting registries
by the end of 2024. These projects issued 305 million tonnes of carbon credits
in 2024 and have now issued more than 2.1 billion credits since the Paris
Agreement was signed in late 2016. Carbon credits worth a total of US$1.4
billion were used by corporations last year, slightly below 2022’s peak of US$1.7
billion.
With more
companies setting climate goals and favourable policy developments, including
the finalisation of the UN Paris Agreement’s Article 6 rules for international carbon trading at
COP29, the market is expected to grow significantly.
MSCI projects the global carbon credit market could rise in value to at least US$7 billion, and as much as US$35 billion, by 2030. By 2050, the market is estimated to be worth between US$45 and US$250 billion.
Provides cost-effective ways to meet climate goals
Creates potential revenue from emissions reduction projects
Helps manage carbon costs and comply with regulation
For Investors:
Carbon markets present new investment opportunities
Pathway to reduce carbon exposure in investment portfolios
Improve understanding of carbon-related financial risks
Getting Started
Companies can:
Assess Their Carbon Exposure:
Identify where emissions come from
Find the best opportunities to reduce emissions
Understand the relevant carbon pricing rules that apply to them
Develop Carbon Strategies:
Set an internal price on carbon within the organisation
Look for ways to generate carbon credits
Consider the environmental impact when making investment decisions
Investors can:
Participate in Carbon Markets:
Learn about different carbon trading systems
Evaluate the quality of carbon credits
Consider investments in market infrastructure
Integrate Carbon in Portfolios
Include carbon pricing in investment models
Engage with companies about their carbon strategies
Develop investment approaches aligned with net-zero goals
Conclusion
Carbon markets and
carbon pricing mechanisms serve as essential tools for channelling global investments
towards greenhouse gas reduction. As these markets evolve and expand, understanding
their dynamics becomes increasingly critical for both effective financial
decision-making and meaningful climate action.